Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.487791 0.562848 0.644641 0.740264 0.848856 0.968208 1.109186
2025-08-10 0.357607 0.459061 0.580631 0.736426 0.930116 1.162278 1.460868
2025-08-17 0.281742 0.391669 0.532998 0.726712 0.983824 1.311671 1.759415
2025-08-24 0.231124 0.343403 0.496434 0.718104 1.028400 1.444278 2.040156
2025-08-31 0.189482 0.298823 0.455808 0.694584 1.044778 1.534907 2.266860
2025-09-07 0.173341 0.287697 0.459327 0.731398 1.146370 1.748545 2.679259
2025-09-14 0.146977 0.256556 0.428343 0.711876 1.161079 1.836039 2.914183
2025-09-21 0.125568 0.229903 0.400325 0.692439 1.171896 1.915919 3.140970
2025-09-28 0.108649 0.208148 0.377099 0.677160 1.186197 2.000138 3.378423
2025-10-05 0.099727 0.199013 0.373575 0.693584 1.252609 2.170436 3.763444
2025-10-12 0.094667 0.196131 0.380298 0.727795 1.351182 2.399397 4.259495
2025-10-19 0.088200 0.189636 0.379622 0.748394 1.427334 2.595769 4.714243
2025-10-26 0.080241 0.179373 0.371238 0.754797 1.480206 2.758877 5.129031
2025-11-02 0.072068 0.167555 0.358564 0.751835 1.515787 2.894759 5.507260
2025-11-09 0.064205 0.155216 0.343315 0.742008 1.537095 3.005946 5.848519
2025-11-16 0.057439 0.144252 0.329465 0.733239 1.559092 3.119136 6.200229
2025-11-23 0.050181 0.131062 0.309326 0.709261 1.548550 3.170089 6.438983
2025-11-30 0.048744 0.131339 0.318132 0.746792 1.664706 3.469697 7.167133
2025-12-07 0.043089 0.120521 0.301123 0.726890 1.660706 3.535648 7.449554
2025-12-14 0.038115 0.110632 0.284991 0.707074 1.654762 3.596635 7.725338
2025-12-21 0.033987 0.102282 0.271419 0.691496 1.656245 3.672081 8.034091
2025-12-28 0.032168 0.099859 0.271792 0.708241 1.729999 3.900534 8.667500
2026-01-04 0.031454 0.100396 0.279509 0.743118 1.847106 4.226899 9.522425